by Denise Leathers
October 1, 2008

Appetizers/snacks, benefiting
from increased at-home eating and entertaining and more items suited for on-the-go
snacking, is one frozen food category that is outperforming the department as a
whole by a wide margin. And its sales are accelerating.
The category was up 8.7% to
$202.4 million and 4.8% in unit sales to 60.6 million in U.S. supermarkets in
the 12 weeks ending June 15, according to Information Resources, Inc., a
Chicago-based market research firm. For the 52 weeks ending June 15, the
category was ahead 5.6% to $961.5 million and 2.7% to 293.0 million units. This
compared with dollar increases of 1.7% and 1.9%, respectively, and unit
declines of 2.7% in the 12-week period and 2.2% in the 52-week period for the
overall department.
The hottest items in the category are those that are
more natural and healthy. “It’s what’s on everyone’s radar,” says Keith Chen,
president of Toronto-based Culinary Destinations (416-201-0707).

Amy Ruegg, director of
marketing for Schwan’s Asian Sensations line, points out that consumers are
increasingly interested in augmenting their current purchases with ethnic foods
that are new and different to provide an alternative to their meals. “This
interest,” she says, “is driving ethnic foods to grow faster than most other
food categories.”
Rising costs are affecting
everyone. “I haven’t seen cost increases like this since the ‘70s. When fuel
costs go up it affects everything from packaging to transportation to
utilities. It’s the perfect storm hitting each of the components. Historically
you will see a couple of ingredients go up in cost and a couple go down. But
now we’ve seen them all turn straight up at the same time. That’s what has made
it so dramatic this time,” says a vendor executive.
Also, higher worldwide demand
for many ingredients, such as wheat, flour, bread, tortillas and ground beef,
has contributed to price increases.
Rich’s Meetz says that the
current economy has made consumers look to the value that larger pack sizes
bring.
Appetizers/snacks is a
crowded category and needs to be easier to shop, according to Heinz’s Fleming.
“While we’re starting to see some retailers implement better programs with brand
blocks and more promotions, we still feel there’s a challenge and an
opportunity at the same time,” he says.
Fleming says that consumers
often look to frozen snacks as a side dish in addition to a snack or appetizer.
Heinz has responded with new T.G.I. Friday’s Loaded items.
Culinary Destinations’ Chen says that retailers need
to understand that some items are not built for the long haul. “Retailers may
want to have these products nevertheless, knowing that although they may have a
three- or five-year shelf life, they add excitement to the category. There is a
place for them, but strategically as a retailer you have to think about how and
where I’m going to make this work for me.” And, he adds, “what works for one
retailer may not necessarily work for others.”
Although the entertaining
seasons of Thanksgiving, Christmas, Super Bowl and Easter are huge
merchandising opportunities, retailers should be looking to piggyback other
times to increase sales, such as Cinco de Mayo, according to Chen. “This would
show that a store is more aware of its consumers,” he says.
“There’s a whole global sense
of food as part of living a lifestyle.
What retailers are now offering in the freezer aisles is a reflection of that,”
says Chen.
Schwan’s Ruegg says consumer
interest in ethnic foods will continue to increase based on data that shows
that 44% of consumers who use individual frozen meals and 49% of those who use
family-size frozen meals say they would like to see more ethnic food dishes in
their frozen meal choices.
Ruegg says Asian Sensations
is well suited for many usage occasions including snacks, entertaining and
mealtime. Bierbaum points out that Red Baron Thin & Crispy Single-Serve
pizzas are the fastest growing product in Schwan’s portfolio.
Ruegg says that there are two
key consumer trends that Schwan’s is addressing with its Asian Sensations:
Consumers’ tastes are
becoming increasingly adventurous.
Consumer interest in health
and wellness continues to rise.
Asian Sensations now meet
consumers’ health and wellness needs with no added MSG, no added preservatives
and zero grams of transfat, according to Ruegg. Bierbaum points out that Red
Baron Thin & Crispy Singles are less than 300 calories per pizza and appeal
to consumers who want individually-sized pizzas.
New Red Baron Singles panini
sandwiches meet consumers’ lifestyle needs for more convenience and on-the-go
solutions, says Bierbaum.
The weak economy is slowing quick-serve restaurant
trips with QSR Asian traffic losses among the most significant, according to
Ruegg. “This creates an opportunity for our Asian Sensations snacks and
mini-meals.”

Hors d’oeuvres and snacks
skew upscale, and since they have relatively low household penetration, there’s
still plenty of room to grow. We took a look at Homescan data from The Nielsen
Company, and found that user households with incomes between $70,000 and
$99,999 came in the highest income-wise, indexing at 119 and accounting for 18%
of total category sales. Next highest were households with incomes above
$100,000, indexing at 115 and accounting for 21% of volume.
But don’t rule out
blue-collar workers — perhaps they make more money than you think. (Paid a
plumbing bill lately?) By job type, blue collar workers indexed highest — at
134, making up 33% of all volume in the category. By comparison, professional/managerial
types indexed at 110, and accounted for 30% of volume.
Household penetration is only
51.8%, so in-store demos seem like a wise idea to help raise awareness and grow
the category. In 2007 (the year studied), only 21.5% of dollar sales were
supported by a deal, and only 5.7% of sales were accompanied by a manufacturer
coupon.
Users spend $18.56 annually
on the category, buying items 3.6 times per year on average. Big families help:
households with five or more members indexed at 184 and made up 20% of volume;
households with three or four members indexed at 142, for 44% of all category
sales. Families with teens indexed at 188, for 30% of volume; families with
kids 6-12 indexed at 167, and accounted for 31% of volume.
There’s no big ethnic divide here: Asians index
highest at 108, but account for only 3% of sales.
Caucasians come in next,
indexing at 105, and making up 82% of sales. Hispanics index at 98 (10% of
sales) and blacks index at 68 (8% of sales). — By Warren Thayer
Denise Leathers
thayerw@bnpmedia.com
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